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農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部：豬肉供應(yīng)形勢(shì)越來(lái)越好，不會(huì)出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅上漲情況

2020-10-22 16:50:41 來(lái)源：農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：34481 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：明年元旦春節(jié)期間，豬肉的供應(yīng)量同比會(huì)增長(zhǎng)30%左右，價(jià)格總體上將低于上年的同期水平，不會(huì)再出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅上漲的情況，能夠保障過(guò)年期間老百姓碗里不缺肉。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】 10月21日，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就2020年前三季度農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)舉行了新聞發(fā)布會(huì)。關(guān)于當(dāng)前生豬生產(chǎn)情況和豬肉價(jià)格方面，畜牧獸醫(yī)局副局長(zhǎng)陳光華表示，在市場(chǎng)拉動(dòng)和政策推動(dòng)下，今年以來(lái)，全國(guó)生豬生產(chǎn)持續(xù)恢復(fù)，養(yǎng)豬場(chǎng)戶(hù)補(bǔ)欄增養(yǎng)的積極性很高。根據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部監(jiān)測(cè)，到今年9月份能繁母豬存欄已經(jīng)連續(xù)12個(gè)月增長(zhǎng)，生豬存欄也連續(xù)8個(gè)月增長(zhǎng)，特別是今年的6月份和7月份，能繁母豬和生豬存欄先后實(shí)現(xiàn)同比增長(zhǎng)，這是生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)的兩個(gè)重要的時(shí)間拐點(diǎn)。8月份、9月份增幅進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大，9月底能繁母豬同比增長(zhǎng)28%，生豬存欄同比增長(zhǎng)20.7%，照這個(gè)趨勢(shì)，我們有信心實(shí)現(xiàn)全年生豬產(chǎn)能基本恢復(fù)到接近常年水平的目標(biāo)。
 

　　今年以來(lái)，隨著生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)，豬肉市場(chǎng)總體呈現(xiàn)出供應(yīng)改善、價(jià)格振蕩回落的態(tài)勢(shì)。從生產(chǎn)方面來(lái)看，自從今年3月份以來(lái)，生豬出欄連續(xù)7個(gè)月環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)，這說(shuō)明前期新增產(chǎn)能正在陸續(xù)釋放，產(chǎn)能正在變成產(chǎn)量。同時(shí)，進(jìn)口豬肉也在增加，1-9月份進(jìn)口量是328.6萬(wàn)噸，同比增長(zhǎng)132.2%，從市場(chǎng)價(jià)格來(lái)看，也印證了這一趨勢(shì)。2月份之后，豬肉市場(chǎng)價(jià)格總體呈現(xiàn)振蕩回落趨勢(shì)，特別是9月份以來(lái)，豬肉價(jià)格已經(jīng)連續(xù)7周下降，沒(méi)有出現(xiàn)往年中秋國(guó)慶期間豬肉價(jià)格普遍上漲的情況。上周全國(guó)集貿(mào)市場(chǎng)豬肉價(jià)格已經(jīng)回落到每公斤50.56元，比2月中旬高的價(jià)格降了9塊多。今后一個(gè)時(shí)期，豬肉供應(yīng)形勢(shì)還會(huì)越來(lái)越好。近期，我們組織專(zhuān)家分析和測(cè)算，綜合考慮生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)情況、豬肉進(jìn)口、消費(fèi)需求變化等因素，明年元旦春節(jié)期間，豬肉的供應(yīng)量同比會(huì)增長(zhǎng)30%左右，價(jià)格總體上將低于上年的同期水平，不會(huì)再出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅上漲的情況，能夠保障過(guò)年期間老百姓碗里不缺肉。
 
　　本文由農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)(tmpdc.cn)整理發(fā)布，資料來(lái)源：農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部，如有侵權(quán)或異議請(qǐng)聯(lián)系我們。

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